Analysis in Global Finance-Analysing the Impact of Geopolitical Factors in Global Finance Markets

Abstract

Geopolitical risks mainly refer to the numerous uncertainties and it is also along with any potential adverse impacts that are further arising from many political events. These are also happening because of multiple conflicts, or tensions that mainly exist between different nations. The study has mentioned that As per a Gallup survey in 2017, nearly 75% of overall investors have taken part and talked about their major concerns associated with the impact of both global military and also political conflicts on many investments. Additionally, the study also mentioned that geopolitical risks can particularly inhibit the FDI inflow and can directly hinder domestic economic development. Global financial markets are shaped by geopolitical tensions, which influence its cross-border investments, financial stability and portfolio allocation. The research incorporates in the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) index for measure the arising uncertainties from global conflicts, trade restrictions and economic sanctions. The findings of the study suggest that the risk of geopolitical disrupts the pattern of cross-broader investment which further leads to increased volatility and market fragmentation. The large-cap equities in the developed market emphasise resilience to the short-term shock whereas the emerging market and small-cap equities are focused on exhibiting heightened vulnerability. The findings have critical implications for institutional investors and policymakers underscoring the need for adaptive strategies related to risk management in this economic fragmentation growing era. Through analysing the historical market responses towards major geopolitical events, this research focuses on contributing for a nuanced understanding on the dynamic of how geopolitical instability shapes the dynamics of the financial market.